5.     TREND ANALYSIS

This chapter provides a trend analysis of the drug and alcohol testing conducted by all of the employers reporting in 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999, and 2000.

5.1       Drug and Alcohol Reports Received

In 1996, a total of 2,287 MIS forms were received and in 1997 there were 2,317 MIS forms submitted.  In 1998, reporters could submit either hard copy MIS forms or data diskettes; the combined total of these in 1998 was 2,477.  In 1999, there were 2,588 submissions, and in 2000 there were 2,657 submissions.  Therefore, the number of drug and alcohol reports received has increased 16.2 percent over this 5-year period. The majority of this growth is due to the increased number of contractors reporting – this swell may be indicative of an industry-wide trend in contracting for services.  Figure 5-1 illustrates this trend.

summary findings for 2000 reporting

Figure 5-1. Drug and Alcohol Reports Received

Figure 5-1. Drug and Alcohol Reports Received

The total number of drug MIS reports with at least one positive test result has decreased for each of the last 5 years.  For transit systems, the number increased slightly in 1999, after a steady decline from the preceding years, and it declined again in 2000.  For contractors, their lowest rate of drug reports with positives was in 2000, although their rate was significantly higher than for transit systems for all 5 years.  The total number of alcohol reports with test results > 0.04 was on a downward trend with a slight increase in 2000, but with an overall decline in rates since 1996.  See Table 5-1. 

Table 5-1.  Percent of Drug Reports with a Verified Positive and Alcohol Reports with a Test Result > 0.04

 

Drug

Alcohol

Employer

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

Transit Systems

24.36

23.56

23.06

23.46

21.65

4.30

3.66

3.06

2.89

2.94

Contractors

37.34

40.91

35.10

33.96

33.75

3.82

4.26

5.08

2.40

3.24

Totals

30.95

28.83

27.57

27.36

26.01

4.06

3.84

3.75

2.70

3.05

5.2       Positive Drug and Alcohol Test Results

The transit industry-wide positive random drug test rate has declined over the last 5 years.  Consistent with that trend is the random positive drug testing rate of the transit systems.  Random alcohol test results > 0.04 were in a downward trend until 2000, where the rate remained consistent with the previous year’s rate.  However, the results of contractor testing are not consistent with that trend.  Contractors’ positive random drug rates are at a much higher rate than transit systems and have fluctuated during the 5-year period.  The overall rates for random positive drug test results have declined each year over the past 5 years with a downward trend experienced from 1996-1999, and a slight increase in 2000 for random alcohol test results > 0.04.  Table 5-2 shows the positive drug rate from 1996 to 2000.  See Figures 5-2 and 5-3 for information on random drug and alcohol test results.

 

Table 5-2.  Drug Positive Rate for 1996 to 2000

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

1.60%

1.27%

1.20%

1.14%

1.05

 

 

 

Transit Systems: 1996 - 1.42% 1997 - 1.06% 1998 - 0.93% 1999 - 0.83% 2000 - 0.77%. Contractors: 1996 - 1.84% 1997 - 1.92% 1998 - 1.69% 1999 - 1.72% 2000 - 1.64%. Totals: 1996 - 1.50% 1997 - 1.21% 1998 - 1.07% 1999 - 1.00% 2000 - 0.95%

Figure 5-2.  Comparison of Verified Positive Random Drug Test Results

Transit Systems: 1996 - 0.17% 1997 - 0.15% 1998 - 0.13% 1999 - 0.10% 2000 - 0.10% Contractors: 1996 - 0.11% 1997 - 0.09% 1998 - 0.14% 1999 - 0.05% 2000 -  0.12% Totals: 1996 - 0.16% 1997 - 0.14% 1998 - 0.13% 1999 - 0.09% 2000 - 0.10%

Figure 5-3.  Comparison of Random Alcohol Test Results > 0.04

The positive drug test rate for all types of tests declined for the 1996-1999 time period, and has remained constant from 1999 to 2000. Test rates for contractors were substantially higher than those of transit systems.  See Figure 5-4.

 

Transit Systems: 1996 - 1.75% 1997 - 1.41% 1998 - 1.28% 1999 - 1.20% 2000 - 1.12%. Contractors: 1996 - 2.75%  1997 - 3.01% 1998 - 2.87%  1999 - 2.66% 2000 - 2.78%.  Totals: 1996 - 2.00% 1997 - 1.77% 1998 - 1.67% 1999 - 1.59% 2000 - 1.59%

Figure 5-4.  Percent of Verified Drug Test Positives

 

The alcohol test rate > 0.04 for all types of tests has remained fairly constant for 1996-1998, dipping slightly in 1999 and again in 2000, showing a downward trend from 1998 on.  Test rates for contractors were higher than those of transit systems, particularly in 1998.  See Figure 5-5.

 

Tranist Systems: 1996 - 0.27% 1997 - 1.24% 1998 - 0.24% 1999 - 0.18% 2000 - 0.18% Contractors: 1996 - 0.32% 1997 - 0.31% 1998 - 0.56% 1999 - 0.33% 2000 - 0.28% Totals: 1996 - 0.28% 1997 - 0.25% 1998 - 0.29% 1999 - 0.21% 2000 -  0.20%

Figure 5-5.  Percentage of All Alcohol Screening Test Results > 0.04

 

5.3       Violation Rates and Test Refusals

See Figure 5-6 for the alcohol violation rate.  In every year but 1996, contractors had a much greater violation rate than transit systems.  In 1999, contractors nearly doubled transit systems in their violation rate.  The overall trend has increased since 1996, and the total rate has fluctuated each year. 

Transit Systems: 1996 - 0.22% 1997 - 0.18% 1998 - 0.19% 1999 - 0.16% 2000 -  0.21% Contractors: 1996 - 0.16% 1997 - 0.28% 1998 - 0.31% 1999 - 0.29% 2000 - 0.34% Totals: 1996 - 0.21% 1997 - 0.19% 1998 - 0.22% 1999 - 0.18% 2000 - 0.23%

Figure 5-6.  Violation Rate (Alcohol)

Random: 1996 - 33 1997 - 36 1998 - 35 1999 - 36 2000 - 21. Non-Random: 1996 - 46 1997 - 17 1998 - 24 1999 - 24 2000 - 30

Figure 5-7.  Alcohol Test Refusals

 

Random: 1996 - 110 1997 - 69 1998 - 143 1999 - 170 2000 - 126. Non-Random: 1996 - 48 1997 - 33 1998 - 54 1999 - 93 2000 - 69

Figure 5-8.  Drug Test Refusals

 

5.4       Drug and Alcohol Test Positives by Employment Category and Test Type 

Figure 5-10 depicts the percent of verified drug test positives by test type for the last 5 years.   

For return-to-duty testing, contractors had a greater percent of positives than in 1996, and an increase from the previous year.  Post-accident positives for contractors also increased in 2000 from the previous year, as well as from the 1996 data. 

All the testing categories for transit systems showed declines in the percent of positive tests in 2000, as compared to 1996.  The testing categories for contractors of pre-employment, post-accident, and return-to-duty all showed increases in the percent positive in 2000 as compared to 1996.  The testing categories of random, reasonable suspicion, and follow-up all showed declines in the percent positive in 2000 as compared to 1996. 

The only testing category that showed a decline each year in positive test results was for random testing of transit systems.

For alcohol testing (see Figure 5-11), random positives for transit systems were the only test type that showed a decline in the percent of positive test results > for each of the 4 years, with the fifth year being constant. 

If comparing 1996 with 2000, there were less positives > for both transit systems and contractors for post-accident and follow-up testing.  Return-to-duty testing also showed a decline for transit systems and a constant percentage for contractors in comparison of the 1996 and 2000 data.


Pre-Employment

Transit Systems: 1996 - 2.34% 1997 - 1.98% 1998 - 2.02% 1999 - 1.89% 2000 - 1.75%. Contractors: 1996 - 3.37% 1997 - 3.81% 1998 - 3.77% 1999 - 3.17% 2000 - 3.43%

Random

Transit Systems: 1996 - 1.42% 1997 - 1.06% 1998 - 0.93% 1999 - 0.83% 2000 - 0.77% Contractors: 1996 - 1.84% 1997 - 1.92% 1998 - 1.69% 1999 - 1.72% 2000 - 1.64%

Post-Accident

Transit Systems: 1996 - 1.85% 1997 - 1.59% 1998 - 1.19% 1999 - 0.99% 2000 - 1.07% Contactors: 1996 - 2.97% 1997 - 2.94% 1998 - 2.34% 1999 - 3.15% 2000 - 3.52%

Reasonable Suspicion

Transit Systems: 1996 - 5.10% 1997 - 6.70% 1998 - 6.51% 1999 - 6.13% 2000 - 3.53% Contractors: 1996 - 15.70% 1997 - 15.20% 1998 - 13.90%  1999 - 18.38% 2000 - 11.90%

Return-to-Duty

Transit Systems: 1996 - 3.69% 1997 - 2.80% 1998 - 2.45% 1999 - 3.55% 2000 - 3.08% Contractors: 1996 - 2.61% 1997 - 6.67% 1998 - 6.13% 1999 - 4.85% 2000 - 4.93%

Follow-up

Transit Systems: 1996 - 2.24% 1997 - 1.65% 1998 - 1.39% 1999 - 1.51% 2000 - 1.47% Contractors: 1996 - 4.24% 1997 - 4.05% 1998 - 4.08% 1999 - 2.75% 2000 - 3.81%

Figure 5-9.  Drug Test Results by Test Type, 1996 to 2000


 

Post-Accident

Transit Systems: 1996 - 0.14% 1997 - 0.11% 1998 - 0.07% 1999 - 0.09% 2000 - 0.04% Contractors: 1996 - 0.14% 1997 - 0.23% 1998 - 0.32% 1999 - 0.17% 2000 - 0.0%

Reasonable Suspicion

Transit Systems: 1996 - 6.52% 1997 - 7.65% 1998 - 7.34% 1999 - 6.27% 2000 - 6.55% Contractors: 1996 - 21.14% 1997 - 17.14% 1998 - 17.73% 1999 - 15.57% 2000 - 12.02%

   Return-to-Duty

Transit Systems: 1996 - 0.14% 1997 - 0.21% 1998 - 0.0% 1999 - 0.15% 2000 - 0.0% Contractors:  1996 - 0.0% 1997 - 0.0% 1998  - 6.90% 1999 - 0.0% 2000 - 0.0%

Follow-up

Transit Systems: 1996 - 0.36% 1997 - 0.28% 1998 - 0.29% 1999 - 0.15% 2000 - 0.15% Contractors: 1996 - 0.98%  1997 - 0.57% 1998 - 0.0% 1999 - 0.34%  2000 - 0.19%

Random

Transit Systems: 1996 - 0.17% 1997 - 0.15% 1998 - 0.13% 1999 - 0.10% 2000 - 0.10% Contractors: 1996 - 0.11% 1997 - 0.09% 1998 - 0.14% 1999 - 0.05% 2000 - 0.12%

 

Figure 5-10.  Alcohol Test Results > 0.04 by Test Type, 1996 to 2000

 

Figure 5-12 compares test results by drug type from 1996 to 2000.  As shown, marijuana (THC) was the predominant drug found in pre-employment, random, and post-accident testing.  Cocaine was the most frequently detected drug in the reasonable suspicion, return-to-duty, and follow-up testing categories.

 

Pre-employment: THC - 65.9% Coacaine - 30.0% PCP - 0.6% Opiates - 2.0% Amphetamines - 3.8% Random: THC - 56.6% Cocaine - 35.8% PCP - 0.2% Opiates - 2.6% Amphetamines - 6.9% Post-Accident: THC - 50.0% Cocaine - 43.3% PCP - 0.8% Opiates - 5.0% Amphetamines - 7.1% Reasonable Suspicion: THC - 39.0% Cocaine - 45.8% PCP - 1.7% Opiates - 8.5% Amphetamines - 6.8% Return to duty; THC - 45.7%  Cocaine - 48.6% PCP - 0.0% Opiates - 0.0% Amphetamines - 8.6% Follow-up: THC - 39.6% Cocaine - 50.0% PCP - 0.0% Opiates - 2.0% Amphetamines - 10.4%

Figure 5-11.  Comparison of Verified Test Positives by Drug Type, 1996 to 2000

 

5.5       Drug and Alcohol Test Positives – Regional Comparisons

 

Figures 5-13 and 5-14 show random alcohol tests > 0.04 and positive random drug test by region.  Figure 5-15 depicts the percent of positive random drug tests by region.  As shown, for each of the 5 years, marijuana was detected most frequently in positive samples, followed by cocaine.  Amphetamines were the third most frequently detected, although in substantially smaller numbers; the highest percent of amphetamine positives was in 2000 with 5.39 percent.  Specific percentages are cited in the following tables.

Region 1 : 1996 - 0.13% 1997 - 0.23% 1998 - 0.10% 1999 - 0.0% 2000 - 0.17% Region 2: 1996 - 0.28% 1997 - 0.19% 1998 - 0.20% 1999 - 0.13% 2000 - 0.09% Region 3: 1996 - 0.08% 1997 - 0.17% 1998 - 0.23% 1999 - 0.09% 2000 - 0.14% Region 4: 1996 - 0.21% 1997 - 0.16% 1998 - 0.18% 1999 - 0.11% 2000 - 0.05% Region 5: 1996 - 0.18% 1997 - 0.15% 1998 - 0.15% 1999 - 0.12% 2000 - 0.18% Region 6: 1996 - 0.12% 1997 - 0.05% 1998 - 0.02% 1999 - 0.08% 2000 - 0.08-7% Region 7: 1996 - 0.05% 1997 - 0.10% 1998 - 0.0% 1999 - 0.0% 2000 - 0.13% Region 8: 1996 - 0.07% 1997 - 0.22% 1998 - 0.12% 1999 - 0.0% 2000 - 0.21% Region 9: 1996 - 0.09% 1997 - 0.09% 1998 - 0.04% 1999 - 0.08% 2000 - 0.04% Region 10: 1996 - 0.14% 1997 - 0.0% 1998 - 0.0% 1999 - 0.08% 2000 - 0.13%
Figure 5-12.  Random Alcohol Test Results > 0.04 by Region

Region 1: 1996 - 1.44% 1997- 1.04% 1998 - 0.97% 1999 - 0.96% 2000 - 0.64% Region 2: 1996 - 1.10% 1997 - 0.83% 1998 - 0.68% 1999 - 0.58% 2000 - 0.56% Region 3: 1996 - 1.47% 1997 - 1.08% 1998 - 0.92% 1999 - 0.82% 2000 - 0.88% Region 4: 1996  - 1.66%  1997 - 1.08% 1998 - 0.92% 1999 - 0.82% 2000 - 0.88% Region 4: 1996 - 1.66% 1997 - 1.19% 1998 - 1.17% 1999 - 0.98% 2000 - 0.85% Region 5 1996 - 1.86% 1997 - 1.69% 1998 - 1.42% 1999 - 1.26% 2000 - 1.14% Region 6: 1996 - 1.53% 1997 - 1.21% 1998 - 1.19% 1999 - 1.25% 2000 - 1.11% Region 7: 1996  - 1.53% 1997 - 1.21% 1998 - 1.19% 1999 - 1.25% 2000 - 1.11% Region 7: 1996 - 1.18% 1997 - 1.31% 1998 - 1.13% 1999 - 0.88% 2000 - 1.06% Region 8: 1996 - 1.94% 1997 - 1.15% 1998  - 1.41% 1999 - 1.27% 2000 - 1.35% Region 9: 1996 - 1.58% 1997 - 1.43% 1998 - 1.21% 1999 - 1.23% 2000 - 1.22% Region 10: 1996 - 1.32% 1997 - 1.04% 1998 - 0.89% 1999 - 1.19% 2000 - 1.10%
 


Figure 5-13.  Verified Positive Random Drug Tests by Region

THC: 1996 - 56.84% 1997 - 59.90% 1998 - 56.20% 1999 - 60.08% 2000 - 60.09% Cocaine: 1996 - 40.86% 1997 - 36.55% 1998 - 40.18% 1999 - 35.56% 2000 - 34.08% PCP: 1996 - 0.57% 1997 - 0.62% 1998 - 0.63% 1999 - 0.70% 2000 - 0.47% Opiates: 1996 - 3.28% 1997 - 4.08% 1998 - 3.76% 1999 - 2.25% 2000 - 2.48% Amphetamines: 1996 - 4.15% 1997 - 5.18% 1998 - 3.04% 1999 - 4.17% 2000 - 5.39%

Figure 5-14.  Percent of Verified Positive Random Drug Tests by Drug Type